Alfreton Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WRE
2 - 3
ALF
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 1
DAR
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
KID
1 - 3
ALF
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 5
LUT
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 1
NUN
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
SOU
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
BOS
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
LUT
3 - 0
SOU
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ALD
5 - 1
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -3 |