Alfreton Town vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 4
FLE
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 1
ALF
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 2
ALF
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 0
STN
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 1
KID
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 2
NUN
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NUN
0 - 2
LEA
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
NUN
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
STO
2 - 2
NUN
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |