Alfreton Town vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NUN
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALF
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 2
ALF
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BOS
2 - 1
ALF
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HED
2 - 4
ALF
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 3
BOS
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NUN
3 - 1
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
STA
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
NOR
29%
24%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNM
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |