FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-5
Alfreton Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
CHO
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
ALF
20%
21%
60%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
GAT
2 - 3
ALF
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
4 - 3
ALF
39%
24%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
STA
1 - 3
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAR
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
PLY
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |