Alfreton Town vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
ALF
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 3
GRI
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 1
ALF
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 4
ALD
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
WEL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
GAT
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAL
2 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
ALD
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |