FA Cup Previa 2
Global 2-6
Alfreton Town vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
4 - 2
GUL
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 2
HAL
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
WRE
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 0
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 3
LIN
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NUN
2 - 1
LIN
24%
24%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |