Alfreton Town vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 3
KID
52%
22%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
HYD
1 - 1
ALF
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WOK
1 - 2
ALF
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 3
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LEY
2 - 0
PNE
28%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 3
LEY
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 4
LEY
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 2
LEY
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LEY
2 - 1
STF
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |