Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 2
ALF
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 3
ALF
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 1
ALF
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KID
4 - 0
TAM
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
KID
6 - 0
TAM
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KID
1 - 0
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
KID
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 1
KID
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |