Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WEY
0 - 6
ALF
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 5
GRI
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
ALF
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ALF
5 - 2
TAM
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STO
0 - 0
ALF
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
KID
5 - 1
DRO
55%
21%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 1
KID
37%
25%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
KID
3 - 1
HAY
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
KID
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
KID
1 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |