Alfreton Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NUN
1 - 2
ALF
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 0
ASH
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
ALF
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 1
CHO
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CUR
3 - 2
ALF
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
HER
4 - 2
DAR
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
UNM
2 - 2
HER
26%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 0
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 2
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |