Alfreton Town vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
ALF
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
GAI
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
2 - 1
ALF
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 2
CUR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
ALF
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HED
3 - 2
BOS
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
HED
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HED
0 - 3
UNM
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
HED
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
HED
3 - 3
COR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |