Alfreton Town vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 3
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
ALF
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
GLO
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
UNM
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HED
3 - 3
ALF
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
TOW
4 - 0
LOW
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 1
STA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
TOW
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOW
1 - 1
CUR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 0
TOW
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |