Alfreton Town vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
ALF
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
SOU
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
STO
0 - 1
ALF
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
BLY
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 1
CUR
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHE
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
GUI
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 1
NUN
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 2
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
STO
1 - 1
GUI
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |