Alfreton Town vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
EBB
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 1
ALF
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WRE
1 - 1
ALF
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
5 - 1
HYD
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KID
3 - 1
ALF
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
GAT
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
3 - 0
HYD
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
2 - 0
KID
27%
26%
46%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
1 - 2
BRA
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 4
GAT
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |