Alfreton Town vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 1
ALF
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COA
1 - 2
ALF
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALT
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FYL
2 - 0
FAR
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FYL
3 - 2
KET
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FYL
2 - 1
ALT
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 3
FYL
26%
23%
52%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GAT
0 - 1
FYL
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |