Alfreton Town vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALF
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
FYL
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
BLY
1 - 1
FAR
26%
21%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 0
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 1
LEA
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FYL
2 - 0
FAR
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
2 - 1
FAR
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |