Alfreton Town vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 1
FAR
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALF
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
FYL
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 4
DAR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DAR
1 - 2
AFC
54%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 2
DAR
72%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 3
DAR
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
2 - 0
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |