Alfreton Town vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 1
ALF
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
KIN
30%
23%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KET
2 - 1
ALF
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 2
CUR
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 2
ALF
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 3
DAR
25%
23%
51%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DAR
0 - 2
YOR
21%
23%
55%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 1
DAR
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
BLY
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 0
DAR
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |