Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 2
ALF
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
KID
0 - 1
ALF
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 4
ALF
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ALF
4 - 0
BRA
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 3
CHE
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
CUR
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 1
SPE
22%
22%
56%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
KIN
4 - 1
CUR
73%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 1
KID
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |