Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
ALF
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 1
LOW
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
ALF
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 2
ROT
22%
24%
53%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CUR
1 - 2
TOW
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BOS
2 - 1
CUR
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 0
CUR
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CUR
2 - 2
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CUR
1 - 0
ILK
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |