Alfreton Town vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
ALF
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 2
DAR
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
4 - 3
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 2
CHO
62%
20%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
POS
1 - 2
CHO
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
CHO
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |