Alfreton Town vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
ALF
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 3
UNM
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LEA
3 - 1
ALF
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 7
ALT
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALF
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
BRA
22%
25%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 3
CHE
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
YOR
50%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 6
STO
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NUN
2 - 3
CHE
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |