Alfreton Town vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 3
BUR
7%
17%
77%
|
34 | 79 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 5
SHW
9%
17%
74%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 3
NUN
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALF
31%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
TAM
4 - 1
ALF
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
SHI
1 - 1
BLY
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BLY
5 - 1
GRA
72%
17%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
BLY
5 - 1
WHI
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ASH
1 - 1
BLY
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BLY
3 - 0
HAL
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |