Alfreton Town vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 1
ALF
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 1
CHO
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CUR
3 - 2
ALF
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 3
YOR
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
KID
0 - 1
ALF
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 1
KID
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 1
ASH
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
3 - 4
AFC
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 0
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
YOR
2 - 0
ASH
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |