Alfreton Town vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAL
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
NOR
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NUN
4 - 1
ALF
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 1
GAI
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALF
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 1
AFC
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
KID
4 - 0
AFC
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 1
AFC
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RAM
0 - 2
AFC
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +2 |