Alfreton Town vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STA
1 - 2
ALF
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 1
BOS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NUN
1 - 3
ALF
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAU
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
RFC
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
WOR
60%
22%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
COR
0 - 0
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SOL
0 - 1
AFC
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
BLY
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
4 - 1
NUN
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |