Alfredo Salinas vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
5 - 0
ALF
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 2
CIE
39%
26%
34%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
7 - 2
ALF
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BOC
3 - 1
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
HUA
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
SBO
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
LOS
0 - 2
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |