Alfredo Salinas vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 1
ALF
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
5 - 0
LOS
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
ALF
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 1
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
TAR
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 0
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SBO
0 - 1
AUN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 1
SRP
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 3
AUN
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LOS
1 - 1
AUN
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |