Alfortville vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALF
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 0
VAL
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALF
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 1
ALF
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
AAC
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
IVR
4 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 1
IVR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IVR
1 - 2
AUB
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
IVR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
IVR
4 - 1
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |