Alfortville vs FC Calvi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
ALF
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUX
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +5 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
POI
1 - 1
ALF
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 5
PSG
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 0
IVR
24%
26%
50%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Calvi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 0
LIL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
DRA
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AAC
0 - 2
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 4
FCA
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |