Alfortville vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 3
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 3
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
ALF
56%
22%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
COM
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AUX
3 - 1
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 1
DRA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AAC
0 - 0
DUN
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 0
AVI
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 3
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |