Alfortville vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AUX
3 - 1
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 0
POI
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IVR
1 - 0
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
LEN
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 1
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
DRA
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AAC
3 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
LIL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |