Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Union Huaral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
ALF
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
AUN
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SRP
3 - 1
ALF
54%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 2
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LOS
4 - 0
ALF
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 3
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 0
UNI
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |