Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Union Huaral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
LOS
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
ALF
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
ACR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SBO
1 - 0
ALF
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Union Huaral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
GAL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
UNI
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
WIL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |