Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
ALF
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ADT
0 - 0
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
0 - 1
ALF
6%
11%
83%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 1
LOS
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
0 - 0
ALF
7%
14%
79%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
FCS
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
SRP
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
COM
3 - 3
AUR
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |