Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Pirata FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALF
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
SRP
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
ALF
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pirata FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 0
AYA
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
PIR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 2
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 1
AUR
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
PIR
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |