Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Pirata FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SCJ
1 - 1
ALF
30%
25%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 1
GAR
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
COM
4 - 1
ALF
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
AUN
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pirata FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PIR
2 - 2
GAR
21%
27%
53%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
COM
4 - 1
PIR
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PIR
1 - 2
COM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AUN
3 - 0
PIR
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PIR
1 - 0
AUR
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |