Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALF
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
WIL
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
ALF
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 2
ALF
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 2
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 0
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
MUN
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
GAL
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |