Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
ALF
17%
22%
62%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
4 - 1
ALF
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
ALF
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
AUN
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
7 - 0
FCS
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
PIR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |