Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
ALF
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALF
4 - 0
SPO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AUN
2 - 1
ALF
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 0
ALF
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 0
WAL
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 0
MUN
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 3
ATL
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
MUN
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |