Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 2
ALF
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 1
LOS
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COM
0 - 4
ALF
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
SBO
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 0
GAL
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 0
DEF
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 2
AUN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |