Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
AUN
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AUR
4 - 3
ALF
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 1
ALF
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
SFC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GAR
3 - 2
COM
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
COM
2 - 3
COM
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 2
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
COM
4 - 3
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |