Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SBO
0 - 2
ALF
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 1
ALF
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
ALF
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 1
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
GAL
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
COM
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
WIL
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |