Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
SRP
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
ALF
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 0
LOS
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
ALF
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
AYA
10%
18%
73%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
COM
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
SAM
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | +4 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 0
COM
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
5%
12%
83%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | +1 |