Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Atlético Minero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
ALF
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
ACR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SBO
1 - 0
ALF
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
LOS
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 2
ALF
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Minero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 1
SBO
39%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 0
LOS
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOS
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 2
ALF
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |