Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 2
ALF
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 1
ALF
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
PAC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AUN
4 - 0
GAL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUN
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 1
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUN
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |