Alfonso Ugarte Chiclín vs Deportiva Tahuishco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte Chiclín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
5 - 0
AUC
53%
21%
27%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 3
CDP
27%
24%
49%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
4 - 2
AUC
46%
22%
33%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 1
FSM
28%
21%
51%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
5 - 1
AUC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Deportiva Tahuishco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
DTA
0 - 0
PDR
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
DTA
91%
8%
2%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
0 - 0
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PDR
0 - 1
DTA
30%
21%
50%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
5 - 1
AUC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |