Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Vigor Carpaneto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
0 - 1
ALF
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 2
ALF
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 6
BRE
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
COR
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
USD
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
USD
0 - 1
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 1
USD
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 0
USD
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |