Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 2
ALF
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 6
BRE
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
COR
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 3
CRE
23%
24%
54%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAM
65%
21%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 5
MAN
7%
18%
75%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |