Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 0
ALF
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ALF
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 2
SAV
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
ALF
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRO
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ADR
3 - 1
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAV
0 - 0
ADR
32%
23%
46%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ADR
1 - 2
ASD
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
COR
3 - 0
ADR
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 1
FOR
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |